Review the Latest Player Stats for White Sox vs Blue Jays – Friday, June 20, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Toronto Blue Jays

As the Toronto Blue Jays prepare to face off against the Chicago White Sox at Rogers Centre on June 20, 2025, both teams are hoping to capitalize on their opportunities. The Blue Jays currently hold a record of 40-34, enjoying an above-average season, while the White Sox sit at a dismal 23-52, marking one of the worst seasons in baseball. Last time out, the Blue Jays showcased their offensive prowess, dominating the field.

On the mound, Toronto is projected to start Spencer Turnbull, who, despite having an impressive 2.08 ERA this year, has yet to start a game and has only appeared twice out of the bullpen. The projections suggest he may pitch roughly 4.1 innings today, allowing around 2.0 earned runs with a tendency for high hit counts. Turnbull’s high groundball rate (47%) could work in his favor against the White Sox, who lack power in their lineup.

On the other side, Chicago will send Davis Martin to the mound, who has had a rough go with a 2-7 record over 14 starts and an ERA of 3.79. However, projections reveal he might struggle today, allowing 3.2 earned runs on average despite a seemingly decent ERA. Both pitchers face lineups that could either exploit or struggle against their styles; the Blue Jays rank 13th in offensive power, while the White Sox are at the bottom, holding the 30th rank in team batting average.

With the Blue Jays posting a solid offensive performance and leveraging the advantage of home-field, they stand tall as sizable betting favorites with a current moneyline of -205, presenting an implied team total of 5.27 runs. The game total is set at 9.0 runs, reflecting expectations for runs in this matchup. Overall, the Blue Jays look to maintain their momentum against a struggling White Sox team, setting the stage for what could be an intriguing contest.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Davis Martin – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Davis Martin’s higher utilization rate of his fastball this year (39.9 compared to 28.3% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Edgar Quero – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Edgar Quero has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen ranks as the worst out of all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-185)
  Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.9-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
• Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-180)
  Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.65 Units / 109% ROI)