
St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago White Sox
The Chicago White Sox will host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 19, 2025, in the first game of a double-header. This matchup follows an impressive victory for the Cardinals, who triumphed over the White Sox 12-2 in their last game on June 17. With the White Sox struggling at 23-50 this season, they rank as the 30th best offense in MLB, while the Cardinals sit at a more respectable 38-35, showcasing their 12th best offensive ranking.
The White Sox are projected to start Sean Burke, a right-handed pitcher with a subpar record of 3-7 and a 4.71 ERA this season. Burke’s recent performance has been concerning; he allowed 7 earned runs in just 4 innings during his last start on June 11. The projections indicate that he may struggle again, as he is expected to yield an average of 3.2 earned runs and allow 5.3 hits today. Compounding his challenges, Burke faces a Cardinals lineup that has the 6th least strikeouts in MLB, making it tough for him to capitalize on his strikeout potential.
On the mound for the Cardinals is Erick Fedde, who has a better record of 3-6 and a solid 3.65 ERA. Although considered below average in some metrics, Fedde’s recent performance was decent, giving up 3 earned runs over 5 innings in his last outing. He projects to allow 2.9 earned runs today, which is favorable compared to Burke’s projections.
In terms of betting, the White Sox are currently underdogs with a moneyline of +120, while the Cardinals are favored at -140. The Game Total is set at a high 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for a potentially high-scoring affair. Given the Cardinals’ recent success and the White Sox’s ongoing struggles, this game could tilt in favor of St. Louis.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under StrikeoutsIt may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Erick Fedde has relied on his secondary offerings 8% less often this season (60.9%) than he did last year (68.9%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Adrian Houser – Over/Under StrikeoutsAdrian Houser’s 93.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.2-mph increase from last year’s 92.1-mph mark.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.