Review Player Predictions Overview for Rockies vs Marlins – Wednesday June 4, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins will host the Colorado Rockies in a pivotal matchup on June 4, 2025, at LoanDepot Park, marking the third game of their series. Both teams are struggling significantly this season, with the Marlins sitting at 23-36 and the Rockies languishing at 11-50. The Marlins are currently perceived as the betting favorite, with a moneyline of -150, which implies they have a better chance to clinch a victory compared to the Rockies, who sit at +130.

In their previous matchup on June 3, the Marlins narrowly lost to the Rockies by a score of 3-2, continuing their difficult season. The Marlins will hope for a better outcome as they send Cal Quantrill to the mound. Quantrill’s season has been challenging, with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 5.84, ranking him as one of the lower-tier pitchers in MLB. However, his xFIP of 4.44 suggests he might be due for a turnaround, especially as he faces a Rockies lineup that leads the league in strikeouts.

Kyle Freeland will take the ball for the Rockies, who have struggled even more this season. Freeland has yet to earn a win, holding an 0-8 record and a high ERA of 5.72. His xFIP of 3.65 indicates that he, too, has been unlucky and could improve. The Marlins offense, although ranked just 20th overall, still holds an edge over the Rockies, who sit at the bottom of MLB team rankings in both batting average and overall offensive production.

With both teams aiming to break out of their slumps, this game presents a critical opportunity for the Marlins to improve their standing while the Rockies hope to find some momentum.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+120)
  Kyle Freeland is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #25 HR venue among all major league parks today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Ryan McMahon has a ton of pop (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for McMahon.
  Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Cal Quantrill – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Cal Quantrill’s cutter usage has jumped by 6.6% from last season to this one (13.4% to 20%) .
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Connor Norby – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Connor Norby has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (-155)
  The Miami Marlins projected offense ranks as the worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 51% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.67 Units / 18% ROI)
• Agustin Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
  Agustin Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+6.50 Units / 76% ROI)