Recommended Player Prop Bets for Rockies vs Rangers – Wednesday May 14, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Texas Rangers

On May 14, 2025, the Texas Rangers will host the Colorado Rockies in what is shaping up to be an intriguing Interleague matchup at Globe Life Field. The Rangers come into this game having played well lately and carrying a record of 22-21, while the Rockies have struggled tremendously this season with a dismal 7-35 record. Texas will be looking to capitalize on facing Colorado’s struggling offense, as their Power Rankings place them as the 27th best team overall.

In their most recent game, the Rangers found themselves on the losing end against the Rockies, which only adds pressure for them to perform well in this series finale. Patrick Corbin is projected to take the mound for Texas, boasting a respectable 3.13 ERA this season, but advanced metrics suggest he’s been a bit lucky thus far. Corbin’s low strikeout rate (14.9 K%) could be an advantage against Colorado’s offense, which leads MLB in strikeouts. On the other hand, Antonio Senzatela will start for the Rockies, looking to improve on his poor 5.77 ERA.

Despite their struggles at the plate, with a ranking of 28th for team offense, the Rockies have shown flashes of potential with their best hitter recently racking up a .440 batting average over the last week. However, with a projected team total of just 3.57 runs against the Rangers’ solid bullpen, scoring runs may prove difficult for Colorado.

Betting lines favor the Rangers heavily, with a moneyline of -240, suggesting an implied team total of 5.43 runs. Given the struggles of the Rockies and the matchup of Corbin against a potent strikeout-heavy offense, Texas looks poised to take control in this series finale.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Antonio Senzatela – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Antonio Senzatela has recorded 14.6 outs per start this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year. His .364 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Compared to their .317 overall projected rate, the .295 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup considerably a bit watered down.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Patrick Corbin – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  The Colorado Rockies have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Joc Pederson has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen ranks as the 5th-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+11.65 Units / 26% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.80 Units / 51% ROI)