Dive Into the Head-to-Head Preview: Rockies vs Dodgers Matchup April 15, 2025

Colorado Rockies

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Los Angeles Dodgers

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Colorado Rockies on April 15, 2025, in a pivotal National League West matchup. The Dodgers are riding high with a solid record of 12-6 this season, showcasing their status as one of the top contenders in the league. In contrast, the Rockies are struggling mightily at 3-13, making them the underdogs in this series. In yesterday’s game, the Dodgers secured a convincing win, further solidifying their dominance over Colorado.

Projected starters Landon Knack and Ryan Feltner present an intriguing contrast on the mound. Knack, despite having a Win/Loss record of 1-0, carries a troubling ERA of 10.38 and is ranked as the 203rd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. His high groundball rate (54 GB%) could help him against a Rockies offense that has hit just 10 home runs this season, ranking 28th in the league.

On the other hand, Feltner has posted an impressive ERA of 2.81, although projections suggest he may be due for a regression. His ability to keep the ball on the ground (50 GB%) could be tested against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB in home runs, reflecting their power potential.

While both teams have their struggles, the Dodgers’ offense is ranked 10th in the league, indicating a strong ability to generate runs. The projections favor Los Angeles with an implied team total of 5.37 runs, while Colorado sits at just 3.13. Given the matchup, the Dodgers are expected to capitalize on their offensive prowess, making them a solid betting favorite in this contest.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Ryan Feltner – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Ryan Feltner’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.5 mph this season (93 mph) below where it was last year (94.5 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Kyle Farmer – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Compared to their .314 overall projected rate, the .294 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup a good deal missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-260)
  Landon Knack is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #5 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Will Smith – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Will Smith has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen projects as the 4th-best in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-115/-115)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)